Furman
W-L: (10- 9) PR = 77.0143Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 210 A Clemson ACC (15- 6, 94.7) 1-18 220 H Austin Peay Atlantic Su ( 4-13, 71.2) 17- 9 225 A Queens Atlantic Su ( 3-12, 76.7) 14-10 302 H Campbell Colonial (11- 6, 81.7) 9-11 304 H St Bonaventure Atlantic 10 (11- 8, 82.4) 5-15 306 A Old Dominion AAC ( 5-12, 76.2) 11-12 312 H Massachusetts-Lowell America Eas ( 6-10, 79.2) 21-20 315 H Quinnipiac Metro Atlan (10- 8, 80.6) 14-16 317 H Manhattan Metro Atlan ( 3-14, 72.0) 15-12 325 A Presbyterian Big South ( 5-12, 70.8) 15- 7 328 H Radford Big South ( 4-14, 71.3) 17- 9 401 H Wofford Big South ( 9-10, 76.3) 12-16 404 A Longwood Big South ( 3-12, 71.8) 13-11 408 H Mercer Big South (13- 7, 85.5) 6-13 411 H High Point Big South ( 8-10, 81.9) 12-17 418 A Winthrop Big South ( 6-10, 74.2) 16-13 425 A Gardner Webb Big South ( 2-15, 71.1) 13- 9 428 H Radford Big South ( 4-14, 71.3) 15- 5 501 A Mercer Big South (13- 7, 85.5) 8-16
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
210 A Clemson 1-18 -17 -19 0.00
220 H Austin Peay 17- 9 8 7 0.84
225 A Queens 14-10 4 -1 ++ 5.08
302 H Campbell 9-11 -2 -3 1.35
304 H St Bonaventure 5-15 -10 -4 -- -5.99
306 A Old Dominion 11-12 -1 -1 -0.48
312 H Massachusetts-Lowell 21-20 1 -1 1.79
315 H Quinnipiac 14-16 -2 -2 0.18
317 H Manhattan 15-12 3 6 - -3.39
325 A Presbyterian 15- 7 8 5 + 3.14
328 H Radford 17- 9 8 7 0.95
401 H Wofford 12-16 -4 2 --- -6.08
404 A Longwood 13-11 2 4 -1.81
408 H Mercer 6-13 -7 -7 0.10
411 H High Point 12-17 -5 -4 -1.46
418 A Winthrop 16-13 3 1 1.51
425 A Gardner Webb 13- 9 4 5 -0.52
428 H Radford 15- 5 10 7 + 2.95
501 A Mercer 8-16 -8 -10 1.84
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 H Wofford 12-16 -4 2 --- -6.08 304 H St Bonaventure 5-15 -10 -4 -- -5.99 317 H Manhattan 15-12 3 6 - -3.39 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 225 A Queens 14-10 4 -1 ++ 5.08 325 A Presbyterian 15- 7 8 5 + 3.14 428 H Radford 15- 5 10 7 + 2.95 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.32
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Clemson (15- 6, 94.7) 1-18 -5.16 35.01 1.37 0.91 -1.73
3 H Austin Peay ( 4-13, 71.2) 17- 9 -28.67 11.49 -1.37 0.91 18.47
3 A Queens ( 3-12, 76.7) 14-10 -23.17 17.00 1.37 0.91 33.49
3 H Campbell (11- 6, 81.7) 9-11 -18.17 22.00 -1.37 0.91 -8.90
3 H St Bonaventure (11- 8, 82.4) 5-15 -17.51 22.66 -1.37 0.91 -8.60
3 A Old Dominion ( 5-12, 76.2) 11-12 -23.74 16.43 1.37 0.91 -10.20
3 H Massachusetts- ( 6-10, 79.2) 21-20 -20.72 19.44 -1.37 0.91 32.96
3 H Quinnipiac (10- 8, 80.6) 14-16 -19.34 20.83 -1.37 0.91 -9.44
3 H Manhattan ( 3-14, 72.0) 15-12 -27.91 12.26 -1.37 0.91 19.85
3 A Presbyterian ( 5-12, 70.8) 15- 7 -29.12 11.05 1.37 0.91 22.64
3 H Radford ( 4-14, 71.3) 17- 9 -28.57 11.60 -1.37 0.91 18.66
3 H Wofford ( 9-10, 76.3) 12-16 -23.60 16.57 -1.37 0.91 -11.38
3 A Longwood ( 3-12, 71.8) 13-11 -28.06 12.11 1.37 0.91 24.57
3 H Mercer (13- 7, 85.5) 6-13 -14.42 25.75 -1.37 0.91 -7.20
3 H High Point ( 8-10, 81.9) 12-17 -17.98 22.19 -1.37 0.91 -8.82
3 A Winthrop ( 6-10, 74.2) 16-13 -25.75 14.42 1.37 0.91 28.79
3 A Gardner Webb ( 2-15, 71.1) 13- 9 -28.77 11.40 1.37 0.91 23.28
3 H Radford ( 4-14, 71.3) 15- 5 -28.57 11.60 -1.37 0.91 18.66
3 A Mercer (13- 7, 85.5) 8-16 -14.42 25.75 1.37 0.91 -5.95
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169.15
|
winning pts = 241.3785 losing points = -72.2243
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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